WEEK 14 RECAP
Week 14 Record: 2-3
Overall Record: 33-35-2
MY BEST PICK
New York Giants @ Los Angeles Chargers (-10)
Twice in a row now by best bet was laying the points against the Giants and covering. The Chargers easily took down the Giants 37-21 covering the spread by 6 points. Mike Glennon ended up starting in place of the injured Daniel Jones and was no match for the rolling Justin Herbert.
MY WORST PICK
Baltimore Ravens (+2) @ Cleveland Browns
The score doesn’t show how the Browns were the much more dominant team as they were up 24-3 at one point. I didn’t anticipate Lamar Jackson getting bounced out of the game with an injury. But even with Tyler Huntley at quarterback, the Ravens were able to mount a comeback but went 4 and out on their final drive to try and win the game.
FAVORITES
- Straight Up
- Week 14: 12-2
- Overall: 121-81-1
- Against The Spread
- Week 14: 11-3
- Overall: 98-107-2
HOME TEAMS
- Straight Up
- Week 14: 8-6
- Overall: 103-104-1
- Against the Spread
- Week 14: 7-7
- Overall: 89-117-2
OVER/UNDER
- Week 14: 10-3-1
- Overall: 94-111-3
BIGGEST UPSET OF THE WEEK
Los Angeles Rams (+3) (ML +150) @ Arizona Cardinals
The score makes this game much closer than it was. The Cardinals were trailing the entire game. Aaron Donald took the game over with 3 sacks on Kyler Murray including one on the last play of the game after the Cardinals just recovered the onside kick. Donald and the Rams defense was able to stop the Cardinals high power offense for most of the game which led to this 7-point victory as 3-point underdogs.
LARGEST COVER ATS
Kansas City Chiefs (-10) vs Las Vegas Raiders
In the two divisional matchups between these two teams, the Chiefs have put 40 points on the Raiders in each of those games. The Chiefs have outscored the Raiders by combined 66 points this season.
BAD BEAT OF THE WEEK
Buffalo Bills (+3.5) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
All I needed to win 6- team parlay was for the Bucs to stop the Bills from tying it up and going into overtime on the Bills’ final drive in regulation. The Bills could have just stopped the Bucs from scoring a touchdown in overtime on a 58-yard pass to Breshad Perriman. This game had so many scenarios where the Bills either win or cover the spread at the end of the game but the one that would ruin my bet was the one that happened.
WEEK 15 PICKS
WHAT TO LOOK OUT FOR
The league’s biggest favorites have been dominant in recent weeks. Teams laying at least a touchdown are 11-0 ATS over the last 2 weeks. 6 underdogs are getting more than 8 points. Favorites are 19-9 in the last 2 weeks as the year of the underdog has seemed to take a turn.
New England Patriots (+2) @ Indianapolis Colts
The Patriots are the better teams and they are getting points. Even though they are on the road I think they should be the favorites as I don’t believe the Colts are playing as well as the Pats. Even with Johnathan Taylor playing like he is the Colts are still prone to turnovers which Belichick-coached teams will be able to take advantage of. The Patriots are one of the better teams ATS as they are 9-4 and 7-0 in their last 7 games. Colts are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
Dallas Cowboys (-10) @ New York Giants
I have won twice in a row betting against the Giants and I am not going to stop now. The streak will continue this week. In the last matchup earlier this year the Cowboys beat them down 44-20 as a 7.5 point. I don’t have any problem laying the 10 points in this one as the Cowboys are still one of the best teams against the spread at 10-3. The struggling Giants offense will have a lot of problems with a Cowboys defense that is finally at full strength with Micah Parsons playing like an MVP and a defensive line with some depth to it.
Green Bay Packers (-4.5) @ Baltimore Ravens
As one of the most injured teams in the league and having an injury to the most important player in Lamar Jackson I don’t see how the Ravens have a chance in this one. I would even be comfortable laying a touchdown in this one because I don’t see the Ravens scoring many points no matter who starts at quarterback for them. With the lack of talent at the receiver position, virtually no running backs, and bad o line play the Ravens have struggled on that side of the ball all year. The Packers seem to be rolling after their win against the bears where they put up 45 points. The Packers are the best team ATS at 11-2.
Arizona Cardinals (-12.5) @ Detroit Lions
This is the perfect team for the Cardinals to bounce back against after getting upset by division rival Rams. The Cardinals won all 7 road games by double digits so even though this looks like a really big spread I think they will cover no problem. The Lions have scored fewer than 17 points in 5 of the last 6 games. The Cardinals are one of the better teams ATS at 9-4.
Tennessee Titans @ Pittsburgh Steelers (+1.5)
The Titans are really banged up and I am not sure what to make of them. The Titans offense has not scored more than 23 points since D.Henry was injured. I like the way big Ben battled back against the Vikings last week shows me he still has a little bit left in the tank. Thes Steelers seem to be one of the more capable home underdogs this week so I will take the 1.5.
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Odds from Caesars Sportsbook
