WEEK 13 RECAP
Week 12 Record: 2-3
Overall Record: 31-32-2
MY BEST PICK
New York Giants @ Miami Dolphins (-3)
I knew the Giants would continue to struggle on offense especially with Mike Glennon starting. I correctly predicted that the Dolphins would continue to roll on their now 5 game winning streak easily covering the spread by 8 points as the final score was 20-9.
MY WORST PICK
Jacksonville Jaguars (+13) @ Los Angeles Rams
The Rams won by 30 points and covered the spread by whopping 17 points. This is why I hate to bet on bad football teams, but with the way I have been betting lately, I thought I would take a shot on this one due to how the Rams were before this game. The Rams got right against a very bad Jaguars team.
FAVORITES
- Straight Up
- Week 13: 8-6
- Overall: 114-79-1
- Against The Spread
- Week 13: 8-6
- Overall: 87-105-2
HOME TEAMS
- Straight Up
- Week 13: 6-8
- Overall: 95-98-1
- Against the Spread
- Week 12: 6-8
- Overall: 82-110-2
OVER/UNDER
- Week 13: 5-9
- Overall: 84-108-2
BIGGEST UPSET OF THE WEEK
Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions (+7) (ML +270)
The Lions finally get their first win of the 2021 season. It was a pretty close game throughout the game when the Vikings took the lead with 1:50 left in the game. The Lions with no timeouts went on a 75-yard game-winning drive scoring the winning touchdown with no time left on the clock on a 4th and 2 pass from the Vikings 11-yard line.
LARGEST COVER ATS
Indianapolis Colts (-10) @ Houston Texans
Colts shut out the Texans and get a dominant 31-point win and cover the spread by 21 points.
BAD BEAT OF THE WEEK
Washington Football Team @ Las Vegas Raiders (-2.5)
There was a terrible no-call on the Raiders’ final drive to try and win the game. If the defender does not tug on the Raiders receiver’s jersey, then he could have easily scored a touchdown to not only take the lead but also cover the spread. The no-call prevented the Raiders from continuing the drive ultimately losing the game.
WEEK 14 PICKS
WHAT TO LOOK OUT FOR
There are 4 teams on a bye this week including the Colts, Dolphins, Patriots, and Eagles. This is the time that teams are jockeying for either playoff positioning or Draft position. Divisional games seem to ram up in December as there are 7 divisional matchups including 3 divisional matchups with a spread of 3 points or less.
San Francisco 49ers @ Cincinnati Bengals (+1)
The Bengals are good against the run. The 49ers struggled without Deebo Samuel not running the ball for them who will likely be out again this week. The 49ers are on the 2nd long trip east in the past 4 weeks. West Coast teams usually have problems when they have to travel that far. The 49ers have a losing record against the spread at just 5-7. I do believe this is the most capable home underdog this week even though it is just a point I will take it.
New York Giants @ Los Angeles Chargers (-10)
The Giants are going to be without Daniel Jones once again this week. They also might be down to their 3rd string quarterback Jake Fromm. The Giants have failed to score 20 points in 7 of the first 12 games played this season. Their offense is a disaster that will not be able to keep up with the Chargers offense led by Justin Herbert who put 41 points on the Bengals just last week. I don’t really see how the Giants will move the ball at all so I have no problem laying the 10 points at home.
Baltimore Ravens (+2) @ Cleveland Browns
The Browns are still one of the most injured teams in the league. There is no telling how Baker will hold up in this game with all the injuries he ailing from. Lamar Jackson threw 4 picks against the Browns in their last matchup and still won the game. I think the Ravens will win ugly but that is all I need them to do as they are just a 2-point underdog on the road. Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in the last 5 games and just 2-6 in their last 8 games ATS.
Los Angeles Rams @ Arizona Cardinals (-2.5)
The Cards are just simply a better team than the Rams with the best record in the league and 9 wins by 7 points or more. In the last matchup, the Cards won 37-20 winning by 17 on the road. The Rams are just 1-4 against teams in the playoff picture each of those losses was by at least 8 points. The Cards are 10-2 straight up and 9-3 against the spread. The Rams have been actually worse since making all the transactions they made in the middle of the season and that’s why I am laying the 2.5 points in this one.
Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers (-12.5)
I am bucking the trends this week, picking a lot of home teams and picking 2 double-digit favorites which normally I do not like to do. Even though 12.5 seems like a lot of points we saw how Aaron Rodgers owns the Bears in their last matchup. The Bears are just 1-6 in their last 7 games ATS. The Packers are 9-3 straight up and 10-2 ATS coming off their bye week.
Odds from Caesars Sportsbook
