CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIPS RECAP
Conference Championships: 2-0
Overall Record: 47-53-2
I did great in the Championship games as pretty much every prediction I made in my last article was correct. I knew that the rivalry game between the 49ers and the Rams would be close and that the game would be determined by a field goal which is why I took the 3.5 points. I had full confidence in Joe Burrow’s ability to score quickly and make a comeback which is why I stated that even if the Bengals get down in the game to not count them out. I anticipated that the Chiefs would get an early lead but even I was just hoping for them to get the backdoor cover by that point. But the Bengals went ahead and got the outright upset defying the large 7-point spread. I would have had a completely perfect week but the AFC championship went under by just 3 points even when the game was extended by going into overtime. But I still hit the under in the NFC championship as I knew that it would be a tough matchup for the Rams offense and Jimmy G would play like he does and not score a lot of points.
FAVORITES
- Straight Up: 1-1
- Against the Spread: 0-2
HOME TEAMS
- Straight Up: 1-1
- Against the Spread: 0-2
OVER/UNDER
- Conference Championships Weekend: 0/2
UPSET OF THE WEEK
Cincinnati Bengals +7 @ Kansas City Chiefs
The Bengals made one hell of a comeback as they were 21-3 in the first half to the Chiefs. The score going into halftime was 21-10 and would have been worse if Patrick Mahomes had not mismanaged the clock right before time expired while they were in the RedZone about to score. The Bengals in the 2nd half held the Chiefs to just 3 points putting this game into overtime. The Bengals played defense like you are supposed to quiet those of you who still feel the overtime rules need to change as they picked off Mahomes for the 2nd time of the game which led the Bengals to get field goal range and kick the winning field goal. If you are looking at the point spread a lot of people were on the Chiefs big in this one but were sadly mistaken as they doubted Joe Burrow’s ability to always give his team a chance to win the game. Final score: 27-24.
BAD BEAT OF THE WEEK
San Fransisco 49ers +3.5 @ Los Angeles Rams
For all those who bet on the Rams in this one, you were always chasing throughout the game. The 49ers led the whole game up until the final few minutes of the game. That is when Jimmy G did what he does and threw a pick to end the game losing by just 3 which was enough to cover the spread by half a point. Sean McVay finally got a win after 6 straight losses to the Niners but still doesn’t satisfy those who backed the Rams. The hook can either save you in the case of the Niners bettors or ruin you in the case of the Rams bettors.
SUPER BOWL SUNDAY PICKS
Los Angeles Rams vs Cincinnati Bengals (+4)
Under (48.5)
Los Angeles Rams (ML -200)
Los Angeles Rams (-3) First Half
The Bengals have won 3 straight playoff games as the underdog. They have made turnovers in key moments to win those games. Matthew Stafford has tried to give the game away in certain moments during these playoffs as seen last week when he threw a pick in the end zone and one of the worst throws in the playoffs when he threw it right to a 49ers defensive back who had it right in his hands and dropped it. The Bengals have covered 7 straight games while going 5-0 ATS as underdogs during that stretch. They finished the season 8-3 ATS as dogs and won 7 of those outright. The Rams have struggled against the spread as favorites as they are 1-3 since week 17 and finished the season 7-10 when laying the points. The last 6 super bowls have been decided by 6 points or more. The Rams will have home-field advantage as they are playing in their home stadium but in my opinion, I think that is a little overstated because a lot of residents of L.A. are not Rams fans and the Bengals fans will definitely travel because they have been waiting for this for a long time as well as all the fans who are not fans of either team and are just there to be at the Super Bowl. The Rams only scored 20 points against the 49ers. The Rams’ run game was held for only 70 yards. The Titans pass rush was a big obstacle for the Bengals and gave Joe Burrow a lot of problems which led to only scoring 19 points. The Rams with Aaron Donald and Von Miller can be just as much of a problem. I think the Rams have the coaching advantage. The Bengals are 13-7 ATS and the Rams are 10-10 ATS. The Rams are 1-5 ATS against an AFC opponent in the last 6 games. The total has gone under 4 of the last 5 Bengals games. The Bengals are 7-0 ATS in the last 7 games. With all that said my picks are the Rams to win the game but the Bengals will cover the 4-point spread. The game will go under and the Rams will get an early lead and cover the 1st half 3 point spread as the Bengals start slow. I am rooting for the Bengals to win but I think the Rams just have too much talent and are the overall better team which is why I will take them on the money line but think it will still be very close and the Rams will win it by a field goal.
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Odds from Various Sportsbooks
